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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

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2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →

All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 14 13
Seats won 16 11
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2
Popular vote 5,469,164 4,942,287
Percentage 52.26% 47.23%
Swing Decrease 0.09% Increase 0.13%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11.[1][2]

Statewide

[edit]
Popular vote
Republican
52.26%
Democratic
47.23%
Other
0.51%
House seats
Republican
59.26%
Democratic
40.74%

District 1

[edit]
2020 Florida's 1st congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Matt Gaetz Phil Ehr
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 283,352 149,172
Percentage 64.6% 34.1%

Gaetz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Ehr:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Matt Gaetz
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Gaetz
Republican

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent) 87,457 80.9
Republican John Mills 10,383 9.6
Republican Greg Merk 10,227 9.5
Total votes 108,067 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Albert Oram, lawyer

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[8] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 1st congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Gaetz (incumbent) 283,352 64.61%
Democratic Phil Ehr 149,172 34.01%
Independent Albert Oram 6,038 1.38%
Total votes 438,532 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
2020 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Neal Dunn
Party Republican
Popular vote 305,337
Percentage 97.86%

Dunn:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
O'Connor:      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Neal Dunn
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Neal Dunn
Republican

The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Willie Anderson, priest[16]
  • Connor Oswald, teacher[17]
  • Kristy Thripp, activist[18]

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[20] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neal Dunn (incumbent) 305,337 97.86%
Independent Kim O'Connor (write-in) 6,662 2.14%
Total votes 311,999 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
2020 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Kat Cammack Adam Christensen
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 223,075 167,326
Percentage 57.1% 42.9%

Precinct results
Cammack:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Christensen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Ted Yoho
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Kat Cammack
Republican

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms.[21]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Ryan Chamberlin, author[23]
  • Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[24]
  • Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive[25]
  • Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide[26]
  • Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[27]
  • Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman and candidate for this district in 2018[28]
  • James St. George, physician[29]
  • David Theus, business consultant[25]
  • Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[30]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kat Cammack

Federal officials

State officials

Organizations

Todd Chase

State officials

  • Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000–2008)[42]
  • Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010–2016)[42]
Gavin Rollins

State officials

Judson Sapp

Federal officials

State officials

Individuals

James St. George

Federal officials

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kat
Cammack
Ryan
Chamberlin
Todd
Chase
James St.
George
Keith
Perry
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy Pope
Wells
Other Undecided
Meer Research[52] August 6–8, 2020 317 (RV) ± 5.75% 25% 3% 6% 13% 11% 15% 3% 4%[b] 20%
WPA Intelligence[53][A] June 16–17, 2020 405 (RV) ± 4.9% 10% 1% 5% 4% 1% 12% 1% 5%[c] 60%
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp[54][B] Released April 20, 2020 400 (V) ± 5% 3% 4% 16% [d] >70%
Clearview Research[55] December 16–17, 2019 401 (LV) 35% 9% 2% 6%[e] 48%
Hypothetical polling

with Ted Yoho

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Gavin
Rollins
Judson
Sapp
Amy
Pope Wells
Ted
Yoho
Undecided
Meer Research[56] November 20, 2019 533 (RV) ± 4.24% 8% 2% 3% 71% 16%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack 21,679 25.2
Republican Judson Sapp 17,180 20.0
Republican Gavin Rollins 13,118 15.3
Republican James St. George 12,125 14.1
Republican Todd Chase 8,165 9.5
Republican Ryan Chamberlin 5,067 5.9
Republican Amy Pope Wells 3,564 4.1
Republican Bill Engelbrecht 2,001 2.3
Republican David Theus 1,874 2.2
Republican Joe Millado 1,168 1.4
Total votes 85,941 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Adam Christensen, businessman[57]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Adam Christensen

Individuals

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Christensen 21,073 34.5
Democratic Tom Wells 20,290 33.2
Democratic Philip Dodds 19,730 32.3
Total votes 61,093 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[60] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kat Cammack 223,075 57.14%
Democratic Adam Christensen 167,326 42.86%
Total votes 390,401 100.0
Republican hold

District 4

[edit]
2020 Florida's 4th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee John Rutherford Donna Deegan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 308,497 196,423
Percentage 61.1% 38.9%

Precinct results
Rutherford:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Deegan:      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

John Rutherford
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Rutherford
Republican

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent) 80,101 80.2
Republican Erick Aguilar 19,798 19.8
Total votes 99,899 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Donna Deegan

Unions

Organizations

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2020 Florida's 4th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
John Rutherford Donna Deegan
1 Oct. 14, 2020 WJXT Kent Justice [69] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[70] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
John
Rutherford (R)
Donna
Deegan (D)
Other Undecided
University of North Florida[71] October 1–4, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.3% 57% 38% 5%[f] 0%
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[72] September 2, 2020 1,037 (LV) 62% 35% 3%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 4th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Rutherford (incumbent) 308,497 61.10%
Democratic Donna Deegan 196,423 38.90%
Independent Gary Koniz (write-in) 20 0.00%
Total votes 504,940 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

[edit]
2020 Florida's 5th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Al Lawson Gary Adler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 219,463 117,510
Percentage 65.13% 34.87%

Precinct results
Lawson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Adler:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Al Lawson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Al Lawson
Democratic

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Albert Chester, pharmacist[73]
  • LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide and candidate for this district in 2016[74]

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent) 52,823 55.7
Democratic Albert Chester 24,579 25.9
Democratic LaShonda "LJ" Holloway 17,378 18.3
Total votes 94,780 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Gary Adler, community activist[77]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Roger Wagoner, businessman[74]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gary Adler 17,433 52.1
Republican Roger Wagoner 16,012 47.9
Total votes 33,445 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[78] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 5th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Al Lawson (incumbent) 219,463 65.13%
Republican Gary Adler 117,510 34.87%
Total votes 336,973 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

[edit]
2020 Florida's 6th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Michael Waltz Clint Curtis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 265,393 172,305
Percentage 60.64% 39.36%

Precinct results
Waltz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Curtis:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Michael Waltz
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michael Waltz
Republican

The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Richard Thripp, professor[79]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Clint Curtis 30,449 51.5
Democratic Richard Thripp 28,661 48.5
Total votes 59,110 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman[68]

Independent Democrats

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[81] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 6th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michael Waltz (incumbent) 265,393 60.64%
Democratic Clint Curtis 172,305 39.36%
Independent Gerry Nolan (write-in) 112 0.01%
Democratic Alan Grayson (write-in) 46 0.01%
Total votes 437,856 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

[edit]
2020 Florida's 7th congressional district election

← 2018
2022 →
 
Nominee Stephanie Murphy Leo Valentín
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 224,946 175,750
Percentage 55.3% 43.2%

Precinct results
Murphy:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Valentín:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Stephanie Murphy
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Stephanie Murphy
Democratic

The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Leo Valentín, radiologist[85]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Richard Goble, businessman[86]
  • Yukong Zhao, real estate investor[86]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Jan Edwards, businesswoman[87]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Leo Valentín 19,841 38.6
Republican Richard Goble 19,187 37.4
Republican Yukong Zhao 12,330 24.0
Total votes 51,358 100.0

Independents and third-party candidates

[edit]
Independents
[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • William Garlington, businessman and former actor[68]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2020 Florida's 7th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Stephanie Murphy Leo Valentin William Garlington
1 Oct. 13, 2020 WESH Greg Fox [88] P P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[89] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Hypothetical polling

with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Richard
Goble (R)
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Leo
Valentín (R)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics[90] Jan 2–3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 4%[g] 20% 43% 4% 29%

with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joel
Greenberg (R)
Stephanie
Murphy (D)
Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics[90] Jan 2–3, 2020 813 (RV) ± 3.4% 42%[h] 43% 15%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 7th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Stephanie Murphy (incumbent) 224,946 55.34%
Republican Leo Valentín 175,750 43.24%
Independent William Garlington 5,753 1.42%
Total votes 406,449 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

[edit]
2020 Florida's 8th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Bill Posey Jim Kennedy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 282,093 177,695
Percentage 61.36% 38.64%

Precinct results
Posey:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Kennedy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Bill Posey
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bill Posey
Republican

The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 54,861 62.5
Republican Scott Caine 32,952 37.5
Total votes 87,813 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[91]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Tiffany Patti, activist[92]
Disqualified
[edit]
  • Hicham Ammi, customer service manager[92]
  • Jason Williams, engineer[92]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jim Kennedy

Organizations

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Russell Cyphers, former federal investigator for the departments of Treasury and Labor[92]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[93] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 8th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Posey (incumbent) 282,093 61.36%
Democratic Jim Kennedy 177,695 38.64%
Total votes 459,788 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

[edit]
2020 Florida's 9th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Darren Soto Bill Olson
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 240,724 188,889
Percentage 56.02% 43.96%

Precinct results
Soto:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Olson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Darren Soto
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Darren Soto
Democratic

The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Hendrith Vanlon Smith Jr., financial advisor[95][96]

Endorsements

[edit]
Darren Soto

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jose Castillo, hospitality manager[98]
  • Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker[99]
  • Christopher Wright, attorney[98]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Olson 20,751 48.6
Republican Christopher Wright 9,677 22.7
Republican Jose Castillo 8,595 20.1
Republican Sergio E. Ortiz 3,680 8.6
Total votes 42,703 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • John Rallison, teacher and pastor[100]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[101] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 9th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Darren Soto (incumbent) 240,724 56.02%
Republican Bill Olson 188,889 43.96%
Independent Clay Hill (write-in) 25 0.01%
Total votes 429,638 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

[edit]
2020 Florida's 10th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Val Demings Vennia Francois
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 239,434 136,889
Percentage 63.61% 36.36%

Precinct results
Demings:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Francois:      50–60%      60–70%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Val Demings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Val Demings
Democratic

The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Willie Montague, pastor[103]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vennia Francois 21,485 65.1
Republican Willie Montague 11,498 34.9
Total votes 32,983 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Candidates
[edit]
  • Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist[68]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Kristofer Lawson, writer[68]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[104] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida’s 10th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Val Demings (incumbent) 239,434 63.61%
Republican Vennia Francois 136,889 36.36%
Independent Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in) 74 0.01%
Total votes 376,397 100.0
Democratic hold

District 11

[edit]
2020 Florida's 11th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Daniel Webster Dana Cottrell
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 316,979 158,094
Percentage 66.72% 33.27%

Precinct results
Webster:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Cottrell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Daniel Webster
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Daniel Webster
Republican

The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Dana Cottrell, teacher and nominee for Florida's 11th congressional district in 2018[105]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[108] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 11th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Webster (incumbent) 316,979 66.72%
Democratic Dana Cottrell 158,094 33.27%
Total votes 475,073 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

[edit]
2020 Florida's 12th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Gus Bilirakis Kimberly Walker
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 284,941 168,194
Percentage 62.88% 37.11%

Precinct results
Bilirakis:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Walker:      50–60%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Gus Bilirakis
Republican

The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kimberly Walker

Organizations

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[112] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 12th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gus Bilirakis (incumbent) 284,941 62.88%
Democratic Kimberly Walker 168,194 37.11%
Total votes 453,135 100.0
Republican hold

District 13

[edit]
2020 Florida's 13th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Charlie Crist Anna Paulina Luna
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 215,405 190,713
Percentage 53.03% 46.95%

Precinct results
Crist:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Luna:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Charlie Crist
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Charlie Crist
Democratic

The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57.6% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Anna Paulina Luna

Federal officials

Local officials

Organizations

Amanda Makki

Federal officials

State officials

Organizations

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
George
Buck
Sheila
Griffin
Anna Paulina
Luna
Amanda
Makki
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls[141] August 15, 2020 626 (LV) ± 3.9% 26% 6% 29% 20% 1%[i]
St. Pete Polls[142] July 9, 2020 558 (LV) ± 4.1% 21% 4% 13% 29% 1%[j] 32%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Anna Paulina Luna 22,941 36.1
Republican Amanda Makki 17,967 28.3
Republican George Buck 16,371 25.8
Republican Sheila Griffin 4,329 6.8
Republican Sharon Newby (withdrawn) 1,866 2.9
Total votes 63,474 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independent Republicans

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[144] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D October 1, 2020
Politico[11] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D November 2, 2020
RCP[13] Likely D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Anna Paulina
Luna (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls[145] October 28, 2020 1,280 (LV) ± 2.7% 55% 39% 7%
St. Pete Polls[145] August 29–30, 2020 2,160 (LV) ± 2.1% 55% 39% 7%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist (D)
Rick
Baker (R)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics[146] Sep 25, 2019 1,254 (RV) ± 2.8% 42% 35% 23%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 13th congressional district, 2020
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charlie Crist (incumbent) 215,405 53.03%
Republican Anna Paulina Luna 190,713 46.95%
Republican Jacob Curnow (write-in) 7 0.01%
Total votes 406,125 100.0
Democratic hold

District 14

[edit]
2020 Florida's 14th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Kathy Castor Christine Quinn
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 224,240 147,896
Percentage 60.25% 39.74%

Precinct results
Castor:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Quinn:      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Kathy Castor
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kathy Castor
Democratic

The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Christine Quinn, businesswoman and nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district in 2016[148]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Quinn 24,077 64.5
Republican Paul Elliott 13,257 35.5
Total votes 37,334 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[150] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida’s 14th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kathy Castor (incumbent) 224,240 60.25%
Republican Christine Quinn 147,896 39.74%
Total votes 372,136 100.0
Democratic hold

District 15

[edit]
2020 Florida's 15th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Scott Franklin Alan Cohn
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 216,374 174,297
Percentage 55.38% 44.61%

Precinct results
Franklin:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Cohn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Ross Spano
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Franklin
Republican

The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.[3]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Declined
[edit]
  • Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154]
  • Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154]
  • Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154] (running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
  • Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[154] (running for Polk County School Board)

Endorsements

[edit]
Scott Franklin

Federal officials

Local officials

Ross Spano

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin
Ross
Spano
Other
St. Pete Polls[161] August 12, 2020 594 (LV) ± 4% 41% 42% 18%[k]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Franklin 30,736 51.2
Republican Ross Spano (incumbent) 29,265 48.8
Total votes 60,001 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Alan Cohn

U.S. presidents

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

State executives

Municipal officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Adam Hattersley

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Municipal officials

Individuals

Labor unions

Organizations

Declined to endorse

Labor unions

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alan Cohn 21,079 41.0
Democratic Adam Hattersley 16,978 33.0
Democratic Jesse Philippe 13,384 26.0
Total votes 51,441 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Lean R July 16, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[185] Likely R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Lean R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Lean R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Lean R July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Likely R April 30, 2020
RCP[13] Tossup October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14] Lean R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of Error
Scott
Franklin (R)
Alan
Cohn (D)
Undecided
Change Research (D)[186][C] October 22–24, 2020 530 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 44%
St. Pete Polls[187] October 15, 2020 943 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 41% 11%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[188][D] September 30 – October 4, 2020 390 (LV) ± 5% 42% 39% 19%
GQR Research (D)[189][E] September 4–6, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 42%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of Error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[188][D] September 30 – October 4, 2020 390 (LV) ± 5% 49% 44%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Franklin 216,374 55.38%
Democratic Alan Cohn 174,297 44.61%
Total votes 390,671 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

[edit]
2020 Florida's 16th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Vern Buchanan Margaret Good
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 269,001 215,683
Percentage 55.50% 44.49%

Precinct results
Buchanan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Good:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Vern Buchanan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Vern Buchanan
Republican

The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Likely R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[196] Likely R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Likely R August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Likely R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Lean R October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Vern
Buchanan (R)
Margaret
Good (D)
Other Undecided
Data Targeting (R)[197][F] October 19–21, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 38%
Data Targeting (R)[198][F] October 6–8, 2020 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 37% 1%[l] 9%
Change Research (D)[199][G] October 5–8, 2020 527 (LV) ± 4.3% 48% 45% 7%
Data Targeting (R)[200][F] September 29 – October 1, 2020 400 (LV) 53% 37%
Global Strategy Group (D)[201] September 24–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 43%
Data Targeting (R)[202][F] August 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 35%
Global Strategy Group (D)[203] July 7–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 41%
Data Targeting (R)[204][F] January 14–16, 2020 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 53% 33% 14%
Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Global Strategy Group (D)[201] September 24–27, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 50% 42%
Data Targeting (R)[202] August 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 39%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 16th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vern Buchanan (incumbent) 269,001 55.50%
Democratic Margaret Good 215,683 44.49%
Total votes 484,684 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

[edit]
2020 Florida's 17th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Greg Steube Allen Ellison
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 266,514 140,487
Percentage 64.62% 34.06%

Precinct results
Steube:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Ellison:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Greg Steube
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Greg Steube
Republican

The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Allen Ellison, nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018[205]

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Theodore Murray, former high school football coach[68][206]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[207] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 17th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Steube (incumbent) 266,514 64.62%
Democratic Allen Ellison 140,487 34.06%
Independent Theodore Murray 5,396 1.30%
Total votes 412,397 100.0
Republican hold

District 18

[edit]
2020 Florida's 18th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Brian Mast Pam Keith
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 253,286 186,674
Percentage 56.32% 41.50%

Precinct results
Mast:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Keith:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Brian Mast
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Mast
Republican

The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district was included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeted in 2020.[151]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant[209]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent) 62,121 86.0
Republican Nick Vessio 10,081 14.0
Total votes 72,202 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016[210]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Pam Keith

U.S. senators

Individuals

Organizations

Oz Vazquez
  • Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[216]

State officials

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pam Keith 52,921 79.8
Democratic Oz Vazquez 13,385 20.2
Total votes 66,306 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive[219]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Likely R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[220] Likely R October 19, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Likely R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely R October 20, 2020
Politico[11] Lean R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Likely R October 19, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Tossup July 26, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brian
Mast (R)
Pam
Keith (D)
K. W.
Miller (I)
Undecided
Clearview Research (D)[221][H] October 7–9, 2020 301 (LV) 43% 45% 4%
St. Pete Polls[222] September 18, 2020 1,149 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 2% 5%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 18th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Mast (incumbent) 253,286 56.32%
Democratic Pam Keith 186,674 41.50%
Independent K. W. Miller 9,760 2.17%
Total votes 449,720 100.0
Republican hold

District 19

[edit]
2020 Florida's 19th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Byron Donalds Cindy Banyai
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 272,440 172,146
Percentage 61.27% 38.72%

Precinct results
Donalds:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Banyai:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Francis Rooney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Byron Donalds
Republican

The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Estero, Bonita Springs and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[223]

Republican primary

[edit]
Republican primary by precinct
Map legend
  •   Donalds—>40%
  •   Donalds—35–40%
  •   Donalds—30–35%
  •   Donalds—25–30%
  •   Donalds—20–25%
  •   Eagle—>40%
  •   Eagle—35—40%
  •   Eagle—30—35%
  •   Eagle—25—30%
  •   Eagle—20—25%
  •   Askar—35—40%
  •   Askar—25—30%
  •   Askar—20—25%
  •   Figlesthaler—25—30%
  •   Figlesthaler—20—25%
  •   Henderson—35—40%
  •   Henderson—25—30%
  •   Henderson—20—25%
  •   Tie

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Darren Aquino
Byron Donalds

Federal officials

Organizations

Dane Eagle

Federal officials

State officials

Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)

Organizations

Dan Severson

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Casey
Askar
Byron
Donalds
Dane
Eagle
William
Figlesthaler
Randy
Henderson
Other Undecided
St. Pete Polls[250] August 16, 2020 439 (LV) ± 4.7% 22% 23% 16% 16% 11% 8%[m] 4%
St. Pete Polls[251] August 3, 2020 525 (LV) ± 4.3% 16% 22% 20% 21% 8% 6%[m] 14%
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle[252][I] July 23, 2020 282 (LV) ± 5.7% 15% 21% 23% 19% 6% 3%[n] 8%
St. Pete Polls[253] July 6, 2020 503 (LV) ± 4.3% 30% 26% 7% 16% 5% 4%[o] 12%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Byron Donalds 23,492 22.6
Republican Dane Eagle 22,715 21.9
Republican Casey Askar 20,774 20.0
Republican William Figlesthaler 19,075 18.3
Republican Randy Henderson 7,858 7.6
Republican Christy McLaughlin 4,245 4.1
Republican Dan Severson 3,197 3.1
Republican Darren Aquino 1,466 1.4
Republican Daniel Kowal 1,135 1.1
Total votes 103,957 100.0

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • David Holden, financial advisor and nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2018[255]

Endorsements

[edit]
Cindy Banyai

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Banyai 28,765 57.6
Democratic David Holden 21,212 42.4
Total votes 49,977 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA[256]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Antonio Dumornay, housing activist[257]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
2020 Florida's 19th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Byron Donalds Cindy Banyai
1 Sep. 30, 2020 WGCU (TV) [258] P P

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[259] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 19th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Byron Donalds 272,440 61.27%
Democratic Cindy Banyai 172,146 38.72%
Independent Patrick Post (write-in) 3 0.01%
Total votes 444,589 100.0
Republican hold

District 20

[edit]
2020 Florida's 20th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 (special) →
 
Nominee Alcee Hastings Greg Musselwhite
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 253,661 68,748
Percentage 78.67% 21.32%

County results
Hastings:      70–80%      80–90%

Precinct results
Hastings:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Musselwhite:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Alcee Hastings
Democratic

The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent) 62,759 69.3
Democratic Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick 27,831 30.7
Total votes 90,590 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Vic DeGrammont, realtor[265]
  • Greg Musselwhite, welding inspector[266]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Musselwhite 5,394 52.0
Republican Vic DeGrammont 4,975 48.0
Total votes 10,369 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[267] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 20th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alcee Hastings (incumbent) 253,661 78.67%
Republican Greg Musselwhite 68,748 21.32%
Total votes 322,409 100.0
Democratic hold

District 21

[edit]
2020 Florida's 21st congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Lois Frankel Laura Loomer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 237,925 157,612
Percentage 59.02% 39.10%

Precinct results
Frankel:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Loomer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Lois Frankel
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Lois Frankel
Democratic

The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]
  • Adam Aarons, film producer and actor[269]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lois Frankel

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent) 75,504 86.0
Democratic Guido Weiss 12,308 14.0
Total votes 87,812 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Laura Loomer

U.S. presidents

U.S. representatives

  • Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative (FL-01) (2017–present)[280]
  • Paul Gosar, U.S. representative from (AZ-04) (2013–present), (AZ-01) (2011–2013)[281]

Local officials

Individuals

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Laura
Loomer
Other
The Washington Sentinel[286][J] Released June 20, 2020 [p] 51% ≥4%[q]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Laura Loomer 14,526 42.5
Republican Christian Acosta 8,724 25.5
Republican Michael Vilardi 4,194 12.3
Republican Aaron Scanlan 3,221 9.4
Republican Elizabeth Felton 2,421 7.1
Republican Reba Sherrill 1,070 3.1
Total votes 34,156 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

Independent Republicans

[edit]
Declared
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[288] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Lois
Frankel (D)
Laura
Loomer (R)
Charleston
Malkemus (I)
Undecided
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics[289] October 2, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 3.1% 61% 33% 2% 5%

Results

[edit]
Florida’s 21st congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lois Frankel (incumbent) 237,925 59.02%
Republican Laura Loomer 157,612 39.10%
Independent Charleston Malkemus 7,544 1.87%
Independent Sylvia Caravetta (write-in) 8 0.01%
Republican Piotr Blass (write-in) 4 0.01%
Total votes 403,093 100.0
Democratic hold

District 22

[edit]
2020 Florida's 22nd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Ted Deutch James Pruden
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 235,764 166,553
Percentage 58.60% 41.39%

Precinct results
Deutch:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Pruden:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Ted Deutch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ted Deutch
Democratic

The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • James Pruden, attorney[290]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Fran Flynn, businesswoman[291]
  • Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group[290]
  • Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent[292]

Endorsements

[edit]
James Pruden

Newspapers

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Pruden 11,840 35.6
Republican Jessica Melton 9,969 30.0
Republican Fran Flynn 8,667 26.1
Republican Darlene Swaffar 2,763 8.3
Total votes 33,239 100.0

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[294] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ted Deutch (incumbent) 235,764 58.60%
Republican James Pruden 166,553 41.39%
Total votes 402,317 100.0
Democratic hold

District 23

[edit]
2020 Florida's 23rd congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Debbie Wasserman Schultz Carla Spalding
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 221,239 158,874
Percentage 58.19% 41.78%

Precinct results
Schultz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Spalding:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Democratic

The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Jen Perelman, attorney[296]

Endorsements

[edit]
Jen Perelman

Individuals

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) 55,729 72.0
Democratic Jen Perelman 21,631 28.0
Total votes 77,360 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
  • Michael Kroske, businessman[304]
Withdrew
[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Carla Spalding 12,751 51.3
Republican Michael Kroske 12,116 48.7
Total votes 24,867 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independent Republicans

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran[68]
  • Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent[68]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[306] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent) 221,239 58.19%
Republican Carla Spalding 158,874 41.78%
Republican Jeff Olson (write-in) 46 0.01%
Republican D. B. Fugate (write-in) 37 0.01%
Total votes 381,196 100.0
Democratic hold

District 24

[edit]
2020 Florida's 24th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Frederica Wilson Lavern Spicer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 218,825 59,084
Percentage 75.55% 20.39%

Precinct results
Wilson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Spicer:      40–50%      50–60%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Frederica Wilson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Frederica Wilson
Democratic

The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Primary results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) 68,505 84.7
Democratic Sakinah Lehtola 6,267 7.7
Democratic Ricardo de La Fuente 6,134 7.6
Total votes 80,906 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
  • Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[310]

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Libertarians

[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Independent Republicans

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018[68][312]

Independents

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Christine Alexandria Olivo, activist[313]
  • Hector Rivera (write-in), real estate broker[68]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[314] Safe D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe D June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 24th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frederica Wilson (incumbent) 218,825 75.55%
Republican Lavern Spicer 59,084 20.39%
Independent Christine Olivo 11,703 4.04%
Republican Howard Knepper (write-in) 17 0.01%
Independent Hector Rivera (write-in) 9 0.01%
Total votes 289,638 100.0
Democratic hold

District 25

[edit]
2020 Florida's 25th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Mario Díaz-Balart
(Uncontested)
Party Republican

Precinct results
Díaz-Balart:      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mario Díaz-Balart
Republican

The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Disqualified
[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[317] Safe R October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Safe R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Safe R October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

[edit]
Florida's 25th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent) Uncontested
Total votes
Republican hold

District 26

[edit]
2020 Florida's 26th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Carlos Giménez Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 177,223 165,407
Percentage 51.72% 48.27%

Precinct results
Giménez:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Mucarsel-Powell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Carlos Giménez
Republican

The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]
Withdrew
[edit]
  • José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016[321]
  • Irina Vilariño, restaurateur[322][323]
Declined
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Carlos A. Giménez

Federal officials

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Omar
Blanco
Carlos
Giménez
Other Undecided
Unspecified national Republican organisation[327] October 13–15, 2019 ≈136 (LV)[r] 6% 51% 2%[s] 39%

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Carlos A. Giménez 29,480 59.9
Republican Omar Blanco 19,721 40.1
Total votes 49,201 100.0

Endorsements

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Lean D October 21, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[335] Likely D October 19, 2020
Inside Elections[336] Tilt D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Lean D November 2, 2020
Politico[11] Lean D November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Tossup June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Tossup October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Debbie
Murcasel-Powell (D)
Carlos
Giménez (R)
Other/
Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R)[337][K] July 14–18, 2020 400 (RV) ±  4.9% 42% 47% 11%
Unspecified national Republican organisation[327] October 13–15, 2019 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 42% 45%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Carlos A. Giménez 177,223 51.72%
Democratic Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent) 165,407 48.27%
Total votes 342,630 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 27

[edit]
2020 Florida's 27th congressional district election

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Maria Elvira Salazar Donna Shalala
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 176,141 166,758
Percentage 51.36% 48.62%

Precinct results
Salazar:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Shalala:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Donna Shalala
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Maria Elvira Salazar
Republican

The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who had represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 52% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district was included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee targeted in 2020.[82]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Withdrawn
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
Nominee
[edit]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Maria Elvira Salazar

Federal officials

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Primary results

[edit]
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar 39,687 79.1
Republican Raymond Molina 5,497 10.9
Republican Juan Fiol 5,018 10.0
Total votes 50,202 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

[edit]

Independent Republicans

[edit]
Declared
[edit]
  • Frank Polo (write-in), businessman

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Likely D July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[350] Likely D October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Likely D July 2, 2020
Politico[11] Likely D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12] Lean D June 3, 2020
RCP[13] Likely D October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14] Safe D June 7, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Donna
Shalala (D)
Maria
Salazar (R)
Other/
Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D)[351][L] October 9–13, 2020 500 (LV) ±  4.4% 50% 43% 7%
1892 Polling (R)[352][M] September 2–6, 2020 400 (LV) ±  4.9% 43% 46%

Results

[edit]
Florida's 27th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Maria Elvira Salazar 176,141 51.35%
Democratic Donna Shalala (incumbent) 166,758 48.62%
Republican Frank Polo (write-in) 76 0.01%
Total votes 342,975 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
  3. ^ "someone else" with 5%
  4. ^ No other candidate exceeds 1%
  5. ^ Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
  7. ^ Standard VI response
  8. ^ Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
  9. ^ Sharon Newby with 1%
  10. ^ Newby with 1%
  11. ^ "Undecided/won't say" with 18%
  12. ^ "Refused" with 1%
  13. ^ a b Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
  14. ^ Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
  15. ^ Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
  16. ^ Not yet released
  17. ^ "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
  18. ^ 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
  19. ^ Irina Vilariño with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
  4. ^ a b Poll conducted by the DCCC.
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
  6. ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
  7. ^ Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
  9. ^ Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
  10. ^ Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
  11. ^ Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
  12. ^ Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
  13. ^ Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign

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