2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
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| Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2018 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Rhode Island, concurrently with the election of Rhode Island's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
On September 12, 2018, incumbent governor Gina Raimondo and Cranston mayor and 2014 gubernatorial nominee Allan Fung won the Democratic and Republican primaries respectively, facing each other in a rematch of the 2014 election. Raimondo defeated Fung in the general election on November 6 to win a second term as governor, improving on her plurality win in 2014 to earn a majority of the votes, and becoming the first gubernatorial candidate (incumbent or challenger) to win a majority of votes since Donald Carcieri in 2006. It was also the first time that a Democrat was re-elected as Governor of Rhode Island since Bruce Sundlun won a second term in 1992, and the first time ever they did so for four year terms.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Gina Raimondo, incumbent governor[1][2][3]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Matt Brown, former Secretary of State of Rhode Island and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2006[4]
- Spencer Dickinson, former state representative[5]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Paul Roselli, president of the Burrillville Land Trust (running for State Senate Dist. 23) (Endorsed Matt Brown) [6]
Declined
[edit]- Lincoln Chafee, former governor and candidate for President of the United States in 2016[7]
- James Langevin, U.S. representative[8]
- Angel Taveras, former Mayor of Providence and candidate for governor in 2014[9]
- Daniel McKee, lieutenant governor (running for reelection)[10]
Endorsements
[edit]Matt Brown
- Statewide politicians
- Lincoln Chafee, former US senator and former governor[11]
- Local officials
- Jeanine Calkin, state senator
- Lauren Niedel, Rhode Island Democratic Party State Committeewoman
- Individuals
- Capri Catanzaro, political director of Rhode Island Progressive Democrats
- Andrea James-Gomez, Youth & Programs director of Rhode Island for Community & Justice
- Kate Michelman, former president of NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Barbara Roberts, director, Women's Cardiac Center, The Miriam Hospital
- Paul Roselli, president of Burrillville Land Trust, candidate for State Senate, withdrawn Democratic candidate for governor [6]
- Gloria Steinem, American feminist, journalist, and social political activist
- Organizations
- Our Revolution RI[12]
- Justice Democrats[13]
- Climate Action RI[14]
- RI Progressive Democrats
- IndivisibleRI
Results
[edit]
Map legend
- Raimondo—40–50%
- Raimondo—50–60%
- Raimondo—60–70%
Raimondo
- Raimondo—40–50%
- Raimondo—50–60%
- Raimondo—60–70%
- Raimondo—70–80%
Brown
- Brown—40–50%
- Brown—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 66,978 | 57.1 | |
| Democratic | Matt Brown | 39,300 | 33.5 | |
| Democratic | Spencer Dickinson | 10,926 | 9.3 | |
| Total votes | 117,204 | 100.0 | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominated
[edit]- Allan Fung, Mayor of Cranston and nominee for governor in 2014[15]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Giovanni Feroce, businessman, former state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 1994[16]
- Patricia Morgan, minority leader of the Rhode Island House of Representatives[17]
Declined
[edit]- Robert Flanders, former associate justice of the Rhode Island Supreme Court (running for U.S. Senate)[18]
- Robert Nardolillo, state representative (running for U.S. Senate)[19][9][20]
- Joe Trillo, former state representative (running as an independent)[9][21]
- John Hazen White, businessman[9]
Endorsements
[edit]Allan Fung
- Federal officials
- State Officials
- Lincoln Almond, former governor[23]
- Michael Chippendale, state representative[24]
- Brian Newberry, state representative[24]
- Thomas Paolino, state senator[24]
- Frank Maher, former state senator[24]
- Mike Pinga, former state senator[24]
- Local Officials
- Scott Hirst, Town Moderator of Hopkinton[25]
- Glen Shibley, President of the Coventry Town Council[24]
- Michael Farina, President of the Cranston City Council[24]
- Michael Favicchio, Vice-President of the Cranston City Council[24]
- Christopher Paplauskas, Cranston city councilman[24]
- Kenneth Hopkins, Cranston city councilman[24]
- Trent Colford, Cranston city councilman[24]
- Michael Isaacs, former president of the East Greenwich Town Council[24]
- Rolland Grant, former mayor of East Providence[24]
- Kevin McGovern, president of the Exeter Town Council[24]
- Frank Landolfi, president of the Hopkinton Town Council[24]
- Liana Ferreira-Fenton, Middletown school committeewoman[24]
- Matthew Mannix, president pro tem of the Narragansett Town Council[24]
- Party Leadership
- Mark Zaccaria, former chair of the Rhode Island Republican Party[24]
- Mark Smiley, former chair of the Rhode Island Republican Party[24]
- Organizations
- International Brotherhood of Police Officers Local 301[26]
- North Kingstown Republican Town Committee[27]
- Woonsocket Republican City Committee[28]
- Cranston Republican City Committee[29]
- Lincoln Republican Town Committee[30]
- Warwick Republican City Committee[31]
- Cumberland Republican Town Committee[32]
- Middletown Republican Town Committee[33]
- South Kingstown Republican Town Committee[34]
- Newspapers
- Cranston Herald[35]
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Research Inc. (R-Morgan) | July 23–24, 2018 | 400 | – | 44% | 33% | – | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Fung) Archived August 2, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 11–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 62% | 22% | 4%[36] | 10% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Allan Fung |
Patricia Morgan |
Joe Trillo |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 433 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 24% | 10% | 20% |
Results
[edit]
Fung
- Fung—40–50%
- Fung—50–60%
- Fung—60–70%
Morgan
- Morgan—50–60%
Fung
- Fung—40–50%
- Fung—50–60%
- Fung—60–70%
- Fung—80–90%
Morgan
- Morgan—40–50%
- Morgan—50–60%
- Morgan—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allan Fung | 18,577 | 56.4 | |
| Republican | Patricia Morgan | 13,208 | 40.1 | |
| Republican | Giovanni Feroce | 1,147 | 3.5 | |
| Total votes | 32,932 | 100.0 | ||
Moderate primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Bill Gilbert, chairman of the Moderate Party of Rhode Island and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014[37]
Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Luis Daniel Muñoz, physician and community organizer[38]
- Joe Trillo, former Republican state representative[21]
Failed to qualify
[edit]- Rebecca McLaughlin[39]
Declined
[edit]- Matt Brown, former Secretary of State of Rhode Island (running as a Democrat)[4]
Minor third parties
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Anne Armstrong (Compassion Party), cannabis activist[40]
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]- Complete video of debate, September 27, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 15, 2018
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[41] | Lean D | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[42] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[43] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[44] | Lean D | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[45] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[46] | Likely D | November 4, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[47] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[48][a] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[49] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[50] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- ^ The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates | October 20–24, 2018 | 416 | ± 4.8% | 45% | 34% | 9% | 4%[51] | 8% |
| SocialSphere | October 5–9, 2018 | 502 | – | 40% | 32% | 17% | – | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 27 – October 6, 2018 | 503 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | 5% | 3%[52] | 11% |
| Fleming & Associates Archived September 21, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | September 14–17, 2018 | 420 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 36% | 7% | 4%[53] | 9% |
| Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 39% | 37% | 6% | 3%[54] | 14% |
| SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 33% | 33% | 16% | – | 18% |
| Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 38% | 36% | 6% | – | 17% |
| TargetPoint (R-Fung) Archived July 19, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | November 4–6, 2017 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | – | – | – |
Hypothetical polling
- with Gina Raimondo and Patricia Morgan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 42% | 24% | 8% | 5%[55] | 22% |
| SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 39% | 20% | 19% | – | 22% |
| Fleming & Associates Archived March 6, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | February 25–28, 2018 | 419 | ± 4.8% | 43% | 25% | 9% | – | 20% |
- with Gina Raimondo and Giovanni Feroce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Gina Raimondo (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 44% | 9% | 12% | 6%[56] | 30% |
- with Matt Brown and Allan Fung
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Allan Fung (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 21% | 36% | 7% | 6%[57] | 30% |
| SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 25% | 35% | 14% | – | 27% |
- with Matt Brown and Patricia Morgan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Patricia Morgan (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 8%[58] | 36% |
| SocialSphere | May 30 – June 4, 2018 | 501 | – | 30% | 20% | 18% | – | 33% |
- with Matt Brown and Giovanni Feroce
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Matt Brown (D) |
Giovanni Feroce (R) |
Joe Trillo (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleming & Associates Archived August 7, 2018, at the Wayback Machine | July 28–31, 2018 | 407 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 8% | 11% | 10%[59] | 43% |
Results
[edit]
Map legend
- ≥5%
- 4–5%
- <4%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gina Raimondo (incumbent) | 198,122 | 52.64% | +11.94% | |
| Republican | Allan Fung | 139,932 | 37.18% | +0.94% | |
| Independent | Joe Trillo | 16,532 | 4.39% | N/A | |
| Moderate | Bill Gilbert | 10,155 | 2.70% | −18.68% | |
| Independent | Luis Daniel Muñoz | 6,223 | 1.65% | N/A | |
| Compassion | Anne Armstrong | 4,191 | 1.11% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,246 | 0.33% | +0.10% | ||
| Total votes | 376,401 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By congressional district
[edit]Raimondo won both congressional districts.[61]
| District | Raimondo | Fung | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 59% | 31% | David Cicilline |
| 2nd | 47% | 43% | James Langevin |
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Records: Raimondo Has $2 Million Before 2018 Campaign". Usnews.com. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Gina Raimondo (@GinaRaimondo) | Twitter". Twitter.com. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
- ^ "Gina for RI – Let's Keep Going". Ginaraimondo.com. Archived from the original on January 27, 2021. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
- ^ a b Ahlquist, Steve (April 25, 2018). "Matt Brown to challenge Gina Raimondo in Democratic Primary". UpriseRI. Archived from the original on April 25, 2018. Retrieved April 25, 2018.
- ^ Plain, Bob (October 2, 2017). "Spencer Dickinson is running for governor". Rhode Island's Future. Retrieved October 4, 2017.
- ^ a b "Roselli ends race for governor, endorses Matt Brown, will run for vacant Senate District 23 seat". Upriseri.com. June 14, 2018. Archived from the original on June 15, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ Pindell, James (May 29, 2018). "Lincoln Chafee says he will not run for US Senate in Rhode Island". The Boston Globe. Archived from the original on June 2, 2018. Retrieved June 2, 2018.
- ^ Kalunian, Kim; Nesi, Ted (February 26, 2017). "Langevin: I may run for governor, but not in 2018". WPRI. Retrieved February 26, 2017.
- ^ a b c d Gregg, Katherine (December 28, 2016). "Who will challenge Raimondo in '18?". The Providence Journal. Retrieved January 1, 2017.
- ^ Gregg, Katherine (November 7, 2017). "Dan McKee launches campaign for reelection as lieutenant governor". The Providence Journal. Retrieved December 4, 2017.
- ^ Anderson, Patrick (June 28, 2018). "Chafee endorses Matt Brown for governor". The Providence Journal.
- ^ "As Bernie Supporters Back Matt Brown, Rhode Island Dem Gov Gina Raimondo's Primary Problems Worsen". Freetelegraph.com. May 16, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Justice Democrats : Candidates". Now.justicedemocrats.com. Archived from the original on June 27, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Climate Action RI Endorses Matt Brown for Governor". World.350.org. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Fung announces candidacy for governor". WPRI 12. October 24, 2017. Archived from the original on March 26, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
- ^ "Giovanni Feroce announces run for governor". wpri.com. January 3, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
- ^ "Patricia Morgan first to formally announce 2018 run for RI governor". WPRI 12. October 23, 2017. Archived from the original on December 23, 2017. Retrieved October 25, 2017.
- ^ Gregg, Katherine (November 16, 2017). "Former Supreme Court Justice Flanders announces run for U.S. Senate". The Providence Journal (video). Retrieved November 17, 2017.
- ^ Nagle, Kate (November 17, 2016). "Bang: The 2018 RI Governor's Race is Off and Running". GoLocalProv. Retrieved November 17, 2016.
- ^ Gregg, Katherine (May 15, 2017). "GOP's Nardolillo declares for U.S. Senate". The Providence Journal. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
- ^ a b Anderson, Patrick (December 5, 2017). "Joe Trillo to run for governor as an independent". The Providence Journal. Retrieved December 5, 2017.
- ^ @seanspicer (September 10, 2018). "Had fun talking with @GeneValicenti at @wpro and @JohnDePetroshow today about what a great #rigovernor @MayorFung a…" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Anderson, Patrick (October 16, 2018). "Lincoln Almond endorses Fung's campaign for governor". The Providence Journal. Retrieved October 18, 2018.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Fung Announces City & Town Campaign Chairs". GoLocalProv. March 20, 2018.
- ^ Voting for Flanders, Fung | Cranston Herald
- ^ "International Brotherhood of Police Officers Local 301 Endorse Fung for Governor". GoLocalProv. October 15, 2018.
- ^ "North Kingstown Republican Town Committee Endorses Mayor Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Woonsocket Republican City Committee Endorses Allan Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Cranston Republicans Unanimously Endorse Allan Fung for Governor - Home - Cranston Republican City Committee". Home - Cranston Republican City Committee. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Lincoln Republican Town Committee Endorses Mayor Allan Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Warwick Republican City Committee Endorses Fung for Governor – Allan Fung for Governor". Allanfung.com. Archived from the original on June 20, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ "Fung Gets Endorsement From Cumberland GOP Town Committee – RI Relevant". Rirelevant.com. June 15, 2018. Archived from the original on June 21, 2018. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ @AllanFungRI (June 21, 2018). "Thanks to the Middletown GOP for their unanimous support & endorsement! #FungTimesAreComing" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ @AllanFungRI (June 21, 2018). "Very proud to earn the endorsement of the South Kingstown GOP last night! #FungTimesAreComing" (Tweet). Retrieved August 1, 2018 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Allan Fung deserves a shot at governor". Cranston Herald. October 31, 2018.
- ^ Giovanni Feroce with 4%
- ^ "Office of the Secretary of State: Nellie M. Gorbea: Qualifying Candidates". Sos.ri.gov. Archived from the original on November 25, 2020. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ Kriss, Lexi (January 16, 2018). "RI doctor, entrepreneur announces gubernatorial run". WPRI. Retrieved February 10, 2018.
- ^ "Office of the Secretary of State: Nellie M. Gorbea: Qualifying Candidates". Sos.ri.gov. Archived from the original on May 16, 2022. Retrieved August 1, 2018.
- ^ Gregg, Katherine (February 18, 2018). "Political Scene: Gearing up for gun bill battles at General Assembly". Providence Journal. Retrieved February 20, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
- ^ "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. October 17, 2018. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News. July 27, 2023.
- ^ "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
- ^ "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Archived from the original on October 21, 2018. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M) and Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 2%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M), Anne Armstrong (Comp.), and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%, other with 0%
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M) with 2%, Anne Armstrong (Comp.) and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M), Anne Armstrong (Comp.), and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M), Anne Armstrong (Comp.), and Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%
- ^ Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 3%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%, Bill Gilbert (M) with 1%
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M) with 3%, Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 2%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 1%
- ^ Bill Gilbert (M) with 4%, Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 3%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%
- ^ Anne Armstrong (Comp.) with 5%, Bill Gilbert (M) with 3%, Luis-Daniel Muñoz (I) with 2%
- ^ RI.gov: Election Results
- ^ "Dra 2020".
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites