2020 United States presidential election
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538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win | |||
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The electoral map for the 2020 election, based on populations from the 2010 census | |||
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The United States presidential election of 2020, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.
No incumbent or former President is seeking office in 2016, meaning that whomever is elected in 2016 will most likely be eligible to seek re-election.
Background
Procedure
Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to be elected and serve as President of the United States the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old and a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, in which case each party develops a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1][2]
Demographic trends
The 2020 U.S. presidential election will mark the first time all members of the millennial generation will be eligible to vote.[3] The age group of what will then be persons in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket will represent 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020.[4] It has also been estimated that 15 percent of eligible voters in the 2020 U.S. presidential election will be Hispanic.[4]
Simultaneous elections
The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the Senate and the House of Representatives. Several states will also hold state governor and state legislative elections. Following the election, the United States House will redistribute the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 United States Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win election.[5] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[6]
Democratic Party
Further Information: Democratic Party
Potential candidates
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey since 2013; Mayor of Newark 2006-2013[7][8]
- Julian Castro, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development since 2014; Mayor of San Antonio, Texas 2009-2014[9][10]
- Hillary Clinton, Secretary of State 2009–2013; U.S. Senator from New York 2001–2009; First Lady 1993–2001; candidate for President in 2008 and the Democratic Party's presumptive nominee in 2016[11][12]
- Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York since 2011; Secretary of Housing and Urban Development 1997–2001[13][14]
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York since 2009; U.S. Representative 2007-2009[8][10]
- Kamala Harris, Attorney General of California since 2011; Candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[9][15]
- Tim Kaine, U.S. Senator from Virginia since 2013; Governor 2006–2010[16][17]
- Martin O'Malley, Governor of Maryland 2007-2015; Mayor of Baltimore 1999-2007; candidate for President in 2016[18][19]
- Deval Patrick, Governor of Massachusetts 2007–2015[20][21]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts since 2013[22][23]
Potential convention sites
Republican Party
Further Information: Republican Party
Declared candidates
- Joe Walsh, U.S. Representative from Illinois, 2011-2013; announced on December 19, 2015 (Note- Walsh has stated he will only run if Hillary Clinton is elected in 2016)[26][27]
Potential candidates
- Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas since 2015[28][29]
- Kelly Ayotte, U.S. Senator from New Hampshire since 2011[10][30]
- Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey since 2010; candidate for President in 2016 [31][32]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas since 2015; U.S. Representative 2013–2015[33][34]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas since 2013; candidate for President in 2016 [35][36]
- Cory Gardner, U.S. Senator from Colorado since 2015; U.S. Representative 2011-2015[37][38]
- Nikki Haley, Governor of South Carolina since 2011[39][40]
- John Kasich, Governor of Ohio since 2011; U.S. Representative 1983–2001; candidate for President in 2016 [41][42]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky since 2011; candidate for President in 2016 [43][44]
- Mike Pence, Governor of Indiana since 2013; U.S. Representative 2003–2013[45][46][47]
- Bruce Rauner, Governor of Illinois since 2015[48][49]
- Ben Sasse, U.S. Senator from Nebraska since 2015[34][50]
- Donald Trump, businessman from New York; presidential candidate for Reform Party in 2000; presumptive Republican nomineee for President in 2016[51]
- Scott Walker, Governor of Wisconsin since 2011; candidate for President in 2016 [52][53]
Declined
- Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida since 2011; candidate for President in 2016[54]
- Paul Ryan, U.S. Representative since 1999; Speaker of the House since 2015; Republican nominee for Vice President in 2012[55]
Potential convention sites
Third party, Independent, and unaffiliated candidates
Libertarian Party
Further information: Libertarian Party
Declared candidates
- Adam Kokesh, talk show host from Arizona [58][59]
Independents/no party affiliation
Declared candidates
- Dan Rattiner, journalist from New York[60]
- Kanye West, rapper from California[61][62]
Potential candidates
- Mark Cuban, businessman from Texas[63][64]
See also
References
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- ^ "The Role of Delegates in the U.S. Presidential Nominating Process". cfr.org. Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved 29 October 2015.
- ^ "Millennials Will Rule Voting Bloc by 2020". publicslate.org. Public Slate. Retrieved 30 October 2015.
- ^ a b Weeks, Linton (25 January 2013). "Forget 2016. The Pivotal Year In Politics May Be 2020". National Public Radio. Retrieved 30 October 2015.
- ^ Campbell, James E. (March 1986). "Presidential Coattails and Midterm Losses in State Legislative Elections". The American Political Science Review. 80 (1): 45. Retrieved 30 October 2015.
- ^ Sarlin, Benjy (26 August 2014). "Forget 2016: Democrats already have a plan for 2020". MSNBC. Retrieved 30 October 2015.
- ^ http://www.bustle.com/articles/107794-who-will-run-for-president-in-2020-kanye-west-6-other-potential-contenders-are-clearly
- ^ a b https://mic.com/articles/143593/here-are-9-people-who-may-run-for-president-in-2020-because-2016-can-t-be-over-soon-enough#.HvcM2duyL
- ^ a b http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article62936762.html
- ^ a b c https://www.fiscalnote.com/2014/07/16/presidential-politics-part-1-2020-2024/
- ^ Frizell, Sam (17 June 2015). "Did Hillary Clinton Just Announce Her 2020 Presidential Campaign?". TIME Magazine. Retrieved 29 October 2015.
- ^ "Why Clinton Will Win in 2016 But Lose in 2020". The Fiscal Times. 2015-08-13. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ Dicker, Frederic U. (November 3, 2014). "Cuomo might run for president in 2020 if Hillary loses in 2016". The New York Post. Retrieved January 10, 2016.
- ^ Dicker, Fredric U. (2016-02-22). "Cuomo ready to run if Hillary or Bernie doesn't take White House | New York Post". Nypost.com. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ http://www.americanbazaaronline.com/2015/01/27/kamala-harris-us-senate-may-stepping-block-become-president/
- ^ "Presidential Politics Part I: 2020 & 2024". FiscalNote. Retrieved 21 May 2016.
- ^ "Hillary Clinton & Tim Kaine: That's the Ticket for Democrats". National Review. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ https://www.michigandaily.com/section/viewpoints/op-ed-martin-o%E2%80%99malley-2020
- ^ http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2015/0529/Does-anything-about-Martin-O-Malley-s-campaign-make-sense-video
- ^ Wilking, Alex (2015-09-23). "Report: Deval Patrick Could Be President in Five Years". Bostonmagazine.com. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ "Deval Patrick Is 'Kind Of' Considering A 2020 Presidential Run | WGBH News". News.wgbh.org. 2014-06-12. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ Lincoln Mitchell (2014-12-23). "Why Elizabeth Warren Would Be A Fool To Run Against Hillary Clinton". Observer. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ August 21, 2015 (2015-08-21). "Bernie Sanders Could Be Setting Up a Future Presidential Run by Elizabeth Warren". Forwardprogressives.com. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link) - ^ Barken, Ross (15 February 2015). "Bill de Blasio Is Now Thinking About Bringing 2020 Democratic Convention to NYC". New York Observer. Retrieved 29 October 2015.
- ^ a b Knox, Tom (20 February 2015). "Columbus may have to contend with Indianapolis for 2020 conventions". Columbus Business Journal. Retrieved 30 October 2015.
- ^ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yq_0YR4Yuzk
- ^ http://futurefemaleleader.com/this-former-congressman-stated-hed-run-for-president-in-2020-if-hillary-clinton-wins/
- ^ https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-01-11/texas-governor-greg-abbott-sends-signals-about-2020
- ^ http://hppr.org/post/what-exactly-greg-abbott#stream/0
- ^ https://www.theodysseyonline.com/potential-republican-presidential-candidates-in-2020
- ^ "Fresh start for the governor?". Asbury Park Press. 12 February 2016.
- ^ "7 things to ponder about Gov. Christie". Asbury Park Press. 12 February 2016.
{{cite web}}
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- ^ "Ted Cruz Ends His 2016 U.S. Presidential Bid and Looks to 2020". The Atlantic. 2016-05-03. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
- ^ http://spectator.org/61937_here-are-two-leading-gop-presidential-contenders-2020/
- ^ http://www.bizjournals.com/denver/morning_call/2015/03/will-cory-gardner-be-making-a-run-for-the-white.html
- ^ "Nikki Haley Confirms That Nikki Haley Is Definitely Interested in the White House". Gawker.com. Retrieved 2016-05-23.
- ^ Nosferatu'sTutu (2015-07-10). "Nikki Haley Decides To Be A Decent Human, Will (Probably) Run for President in 2020". Nosferatustutu.kinja.com. Retrieved 2016-06-14.
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