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1990 Michigan gubernatorial election

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1990 Michigan gubernatorial election

← 1986 November 6, 1990 1994 →
 
Nominee John Engler James Blanchard
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Connie Binsfeld Olivia Maynard
Popular vote 1,276,134 1,258,539
Percentage 49.8% 49.1%

County results
Engler:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Blanchard:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

James Blanchard
Democratic

Elected Governor

John Engler
Republican

The 1990 Michigan gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 1990, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of the state of Michigan. John Engler, a member of the Republican Party and State Senate majority leader, was elected over Democratic Party nominee, incumbent governor James Blanchard, who was seeking his third term.

In what turned out to be one of the closest elections in recent Michigan history, Engler defeated Blanchard by less than 18,000 votes and a 0.7% margin. Engler's victory was considered a major upset and became infamous among pollsters. The final Detroit News poll showed Engler trailing by 14 points, and the final Detroit Free Press poll showed Engler behind by 4 points.[1] A retrospective of the polling suggests the News poll may have had questions that favored Blanchard and too heavily incorporated the opinions of registered voters rather than likely voters, and thus failed to correctly gauge turnout.[2]

The voter turnout was 38.6%.[3] This was the first time since 1974 and the last time until 2022 that the state elected a governor of the same party as the sitting president. As of 2024, this is the last Michigan gubernatorial election in which the incumbent was defeated.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Campaign

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James Blanchard, a two-term incumbent, won the Democratic primary unopposed. He created controversy in the summer 1990 with speculation that he might drop Lt. Gov. Martha Griffiths from the Democratic ticket. There was speculation that Blanchard was positioning to appoint himself to replace Sen. Donald W. Riegle Jr. should Riegle have to resign due to his involvement in the Keating Five scandal and being under investigation by the Senate Ethics Committee and wanted a younger running mate to take over as governor. After weeks of speculation, Griffiths, 78, offered to remove herself from the ticket and not formally seek the Democratic nomination for lieutenant governor at the Michigan Democratic Convention.[4] Olivia Maynard, who was the Director of the Michigan Office of Services to the Aging, was ultimately chosen as Blanchard's running mate.

Ultimately, Riegle survived the scandal but the scandal along with the unpopularity of President Bill Clinton,[5] led to Riegle announcing that he would not seek re-election and he left the Senate at the end of his term on January 3, 1995.[6]

Results

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Michigan gubernatorial Democratic primary, 1990[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic James Blanchard (incumbent) 371,962 99.98
Democratic Write-ins 62 0.02
Total votes 372,024 100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Results

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State Senate Majority Leader John Engler faced nominal opposition in the primary, easily defeating retired General Motors engineer and perennial political candidate John Lauve.[8] Engler then chose state Sen. Connie Binsfeld as his running mate.

Michigan gubernatorial Republican primary, 1990[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Engler 409,747 86.59
Republican John Lauve 63,457 13.41
Republican Write-ins 19 0.00
Total votes 473,223 100.00

General election

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Results

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Michigan gubernatorial election, 1990
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Engler 1,276,134 49.76
Democratic James Blanchard (incumbent) 1,258,539 49.07
Workers World William Roundtree 28,091 1.10
Write-ins 1,799 0.07
Majority
Republican gain from Democratic

References

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  1. ^ Nate Silver (November 6, 2014). "Why Polls Missed A Shocker In Virginia's Senate Race". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
  2. ^ John H. Wilson; Gary Ferguson; Linda DiVall. "Media Polling in Michigan: A Case for Stricter Standards" (PDF). The Public Perspective January/February 1991. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
  3. ^ "General Election Voter Registration/Turnout Statistics". State of Michigan official website.
  4. ^ Isabel Wilkerson (September 5, 1990). "Elderly Woman Is Off Ticket, And Michigan Politics Churns". The New York Times. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
  5. ^ Richard L. Berke (July 27, 1993). "Senate Democrats See Re-election Perils in '94". New York Times. Retrieved October 17, 2017.
  6. ^ William J. Eaton (September 29, 1993). "Riegle Is 3rd Keating Case Senator to Not Seek Office". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved October 17, 2017.
  7. ^ a b Michigan (1993). Michigan manual. 1991/1992 – via HathiTrust.
  8. ^ Associated Press (August 8, 1990). "YOUNG FALLS SHORT IN GEORGIA RUNOFF; KANSAS GOVERNOR SURVIVES SCARE". Desert News. Archived from the original on October 16, 2017. Retrieved October 15, 2017.