2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State
Registered	2,357,418
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari; APC	Elected President ; Bola Tinubu; APC

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Akwa Ibom State is a small state in the South South mainly populated by Efik-Ibibio peoples; although its oil reserves make it one of the most wealthy states in the nation, Akwa Ibom has faced challenges in security, environmental degradation, and lack of affordable housing in large part due to years of systemic corruption.

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the PDP's dominance after Senator Godswill Akpabio and his allies that switched to the APC lost. Statewise, Governor Udom Emmanuel (PDP) easily won re-election with nearly 75% of the vote and 25 of 26 House of Assembly seats were won by the PDP. The PDP was also successful federally, unseating all APC senators and house members to sweep all three senate and ten House of Representatives seats as the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar with about 68% but still swung towards the APC and had lower turnout.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	19%	43%	0%	15%	–	16%	1%	4%
BantuPage	January 2023	N/A	17%	26%	2%	9%	–	13%	13%	21%
Nextier (Akwa Ibom crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	8.6%	60.5%	–	25.9%	–	4.9%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Akwa Ibom crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	2%	65%	–	27%	–	6%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[2]	Lean Obi		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[3]
	Tinubu:	17.07%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	56.29%
	Abubakar:	22.75%
	Others:	3.89%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[4]	Obi		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[5]	Abubakar		15 December 2022
ThisDay^[e]^[6]
	Tinubu:	15%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	30%
	Kwankwaso:	–
	Abubakar:	40%
	Others/Undecided:	15%
The Nation^[f]^[7]^[8]	Abubakar		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Akwa Ibom North-East Senatorial District^[g]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Akwa Ibom North-West Senatorial District^[h]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Akwa Ibom South Senatorial District^[i]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Abak/Etim Ekpo/Ika Federal Constituency^[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Eket/Onna/Esit Eket/Ibeno Federal Constituency^[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Etinan/Nsit Ibom/Nsit Ubium Federal Constituency^[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ikono/Ini Federal Constituency^[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ikot Abasi/Mkpat Enin/Eastern Obolo Federal Constituency^[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ikot Ekpene/Essien Udim/Obot Akara Federal Constituency^[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Itu/Ibiono Ibom Federal Constituency^[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Oron/Mbo/Okobo/Udung Uko/Urue Offong/Oruko Federal Constituency^[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ukanafun/Oruk Anam Federal Constituency^[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Uyo/Uruan/Nsit Atai/Ibesikpo Asutan Federal Constituency^[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Abak	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Eastern Obolo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Eket	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Esit Eket	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Essien Udim	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Etim Ekpo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Etinan	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibeno	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibesikpo Asutan	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ibiono-Ibom	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ika	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ikono	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ikot-Abasi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ikot Ekpene	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ini	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Itu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mbo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mkpat-Enin	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Nsit-Atai	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Nsit-Ibom	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Nsit-Ubium	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Obot-Akara	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Okobo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Onna	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Oron	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Oruk Anam	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Udung-Uko	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ukanafun	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Uruan	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Urue-Offong/Oruko	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Uyo	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

Notes

^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
^ Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Ibesikpo Asutan, Ibiono-Ibom, Itu, Nsit-Atai, Nsit-Ibom, Nsit-Ubium, Uruan, and Uyo.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Essien Udim, Etim Ekpo, Ika, Ikono, Ikot Ekpene, Ini, Obot-Akara, Oruk Anam, and Ukanafun.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, Ikot-Abasi, Mbo, Mkpat-Enin, Okobo, Onna, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Etim Ekpo, and Ika.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, and Onna.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Nsit-Ibom, and Nsit-Ubium.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ikono and Ini.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Ikot-Abasi, and Mkpat-Enin.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Essien Udim, Ikot Ekpene, and Obot-Akara.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ibiono-Ibom and Itu.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Mbo, Okobo, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Oruk Anam and Ukanafun.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ibesikpo Asutan, Nsit-Atai, Uruan, and Uyo.

References

^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[2] AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[4] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[6] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[8] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[10] ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[12] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[15] Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Ibesikpo Asutan, Ibiono-Ibom, Itu, Nsit-Atai, Nsit-Ibom, Nsit-Ubium, Uruan, and Uyo.

[16] Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Essien Udim, Etim Ekpo, Ika, Ikono, Ikot Ekpene, Ini, Obot-Akara, Oruk Anam, and Ukanafun.

[17] Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, Ikot-Abasi, Mbo, Mkpat-Enin, Okobo, Onna, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.

[18] Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Etim Ekpo, and Ika.

[19] Comprising the local government areas of Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, and Onna.

[20] Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Nsit-Ibom, and Nsit-Ubium.

[21] Comprising the local government areas of Ikono and Ini.

[22] Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Ikot-Abasi, and Mkpat-Enin.

[23] Comprising the local government areas of Essien Udim, Ikot Ekpene, and Obot-Akara.

[24] Comprising the local government areas of Ibiono-Ibom and Itu.

[25] Comprising the local government areas of Mbo, Okobo, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.

[26] Comprising the local government areas of Oruk Anam and Ukanafun.

[27] Comprising the local government areas of Ibesikpo Asutan, Nsit-Atai, Uruan, and Uyo.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-3] Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-5] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-7] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[9] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[ThisDay_December_projections-11] "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-13] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[14] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

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v t e (2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara