2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State
Registered	3,516,719
President before election; Muhammadu Buhari; APC	Elected President ; TBD;

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.^[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Katsina State is a highly populated, northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis. It has a growing economy but is facing rising insecurity, desertification, and low education rates. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and Aminu Bello Masari won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

Polling

Polling organisation/client	Fieldwork date	Sample size					Others	Undecided	Undisclosed	Not voting
			Tinubu APC	Obi LP	Kwankwaso NNPP	Abubakar PDP

BantuPage	December 2022	N/A	14%	4%	8%	24%	–	39%	3%	7%
Nextier (Katsina crosstabs of national poll)	27 January 2023	N/A	17.5%	29.4%	8.7%	39.7%	0.8%	4.0%	–	–
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Katsina crosstabs of national poll)	22 January-6 February 2023	N/A	3%	56%	2%	36%	–	2%	–	–

Projections

Source	Projection		As of
Africa Elects^[a]^[2]	Lean Tinubu		24 February 2023
Dataphyte^[b]^[3]
	Tinubu:	46.27%	11 February 2023
	Obi:	4.10%
	Abubakar:	46.27%
	Others:	3.36%
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence^[c]^[4]	Abubakar		17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence^[d]^[5]	Tinubu		15 December 2022
ThisDay^[e]^[6]
	Tinubu:	30%	27 December 2022
	Obi:	–
	Kwankwaso:	30%
	Abubakar:	35%
	Others/Undecided:	5%
The Nation^[f]^[7]^[8]	Tinubu		12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State
Party		Candidate	%
	A	Christopher Imumolen
	AA	Hamza al-Mustapha
	ADP	Yabagi Sani
	APP	Osita Nnadi
	AAC	Omoyele Sowore
	ADC	Dumebi Kachikwu
	APC	Bola Tinubu
	APGA	Peter Umeadi
	APM	Princess Chichi Ojei
	BP	Sunday Adenuga
	LP	Peter Obi
	NRM	Felix Johnson Osakwe
	New Nigeria Peoples Party	Rabiu Kwankwaso
	PRP	Kola Abiola
	PDP	Atiku Abubakar
	SDP	Adewole Adebayo
	YPP	Malik Ado-Ibrahim
	ZLP	Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes			100.00%
Invalid or blank votes			N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Katsina Central Senatorial District^[g] (Katsina Zone)	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Katsina North Senatorial District^[h] (Daura Zone)	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Katsina South Senatorial District^[i] (Funtua Zone)	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Bakori/Danja Federal Constituency^[j]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Batagarawa/Charanchi/Rimi Federal Constituency^[k]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Batsari/Safana/Danmusa Federal Constituency^[l]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Bindawa/Mani Federal Constituency^[m]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Daura/Sandamu/Mai'Adua Federal Constituency^[n]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Dutsin-Ma/Kurfi Federal Constituency^[o]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Faskari/Kankara/Sabuwa Federal Constituency^[p]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Funtua/Dandume Federal Constituency^[q]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Jibia/Kaita Federal Constituency^[r]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Katsina Federal Constituency^[s]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Ingawa/Kankia/Kusada Federal Constituency^[t]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Malumfashi/Kafur Federal Constituency^[u]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Mashi/Dutsi Federal Constituency^[v]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Matazu/Musawa Federal Constituency^[w]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Zango/Baure Federal Constituency^[x]	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area	Bola Tinubu APC		Atiku Abubakar PDP		Peter Obi LP		Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP		Others		Total valid votes	Turnout (%)
									Others
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
Bakori	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Batagarawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Batsari	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Baure	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Bindawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Charanchi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dan Musa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dandume	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Danja	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Daura	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dutsi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Dutsin-Ma	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Faskari	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Funtua	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Ingawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Jibia	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kafur	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kaita	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kankara	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kankia	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Katsina	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kurfi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Kusada	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mai'Adua	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Malumfashi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mani	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Mashi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Matazu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Musawa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Rimi	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sabuwa	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Safana	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Sandamu	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Tsagem	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Zango	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%
Totals	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%	TBD	%

Notes

^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
^ Comprising the local government areas of Batagarawa, Batsari, Charanchi, Dan Musa, Dutsin-Ma, Jibia, Kaita, Katsina, Kurfi, Rimi, and Safana.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Baure, Bindawa, Daura, Dutsi, Ingawa, Kankia, Kusada, Mai'Adua, Mani, Mashi, Sandamu, and Zango.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Bakori, Dandume, Danja, Faskari, Funtua, Kafur, Kankara, Malumfashi, Matazu, Musawa, and Sabuwa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Bakori and Danja.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Batagarawa, Charanchi, and Rimi.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Batsari, Dan Musa, and Safana.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Bindawa and Mani.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Daura, Mai'Adua, and Sandamu.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Dutsin-Ma and Kurfi.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Faskari, Kankara, and Sabuwa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Dandume and Funtua.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Jibia and Kaita.
^ Comprising the local government area of Katsina.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Ingawa, Kankia, and Kusada.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Kafur and Malumfashi.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Dutsi and Mashi.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Matazu and Musawa.
^ Comprising the local government areas of Baure and Zango.

References

^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[2] Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".

[4] Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[6] EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.

[8] SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).

[10] ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.

[12] The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."

[15] Comprising the local government areas of Batagarawa, Batsari, Charanchi, Dan Musa, Dutsin-Ma, Jibia, Kaita, Katsina, Kurfi, Rimi, and Safana.

[16] Comprising the local government areas of Baure, Bindawa, Daura, Dutsi, Ingawa, Kankia, Kusada, Mai'Adua, Mani, Mashi, Sandamu, and Zango.

[17] Comprising the local government areas of Bakori, Dandume, Danja, Faskari, Funtua, Kafur, Kankara, Malumfashi, Matazu, Musawa, and Sabuwa.

[18] Comprising the local government areas of Bakori and Danja.

[19] Comprising the local government areas of Batagarawa, Charanchi, and Rimi.

[20] Comprising the local government areas of Batsari, Dan Musa, and Safana.

[21] Comprising the local government areas of Bindawa and Mani.

[22] Comprising the local government areas of Daura, Mai'Adua, and Sandamu.

[23] Comprising the local government areas of Dutsin-Ma and Kurfi.

[24] Comprising the local government areas of Faskari, Kankara, and Sabuwa.

[25] Comprising the local government areas of Dandume and Funtua.

[26] Comprising the local government areas of Jibia and Kaita.

[27] Comprising the local government area of Katsina.

[28] Comprising the local government areas of Ingawa, Kankia, and Kusada.

[29] Comprising the local government areas of Kafur and Malumfashi.

[30] Comprising the local government areas of Dutsi and Mashi.

[31] Comprising the local government areas of Matazu and Musawa.

[32] Comprising the local government areas of Baure and Zango.

[New_Dates-1] Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.

[Africa_Elects_state_ratings-3] Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.

[Dataphyte_February_projections-5] "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.

[EiE-SBM_February_projections-7] "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[9] "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[ThisDay_December_projections-11] "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.

[TN_February_projections-13] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

[14] Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.

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v t e (2022 ←) 2023 Nigerian elections (→ 2024)
President	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Senate	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
House of Representatives	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Governors	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Houses of Assembly	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara
Local	Zamfara
Statewide	Abia Adamawa Akwa Ibom Anambra Bauchi Bayelsa Benue Borno Cross River Delta Ebonyi Edo Ekiti Enugu FCT Gombe Imo Jigawa Kaduna Kano Katsina Kebbi Kogi Kwara Lagos Nasarawa Niger Ogun Ondo Osun Oyo Plateau Rivers Sokoto Taraba Yobe Zamfara